The Florida Panthers are set for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amerant Bank Arena on Monday, April 28, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Panthers are ahead 2-1 in the series. The Panthers have -132 odds on the moneyline against the Lightning (+111).

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we project to come out on top.

Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-132)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers have gone 10-4-14 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall record of 47-31-4.
Florida has 26 points (11-6-4) in the 21 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
Looking at the 17 times this season the Panthers ended a game with only one goal, they have a 3-14-0 record, good for six points.
Florida has taken 14 points from the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (6-7-2 record).
The Panthers are 40-6-2 in the 48 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 82 points).
In the 37 games when Florida has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it picked up 52 points after finishing 24-9-4.
In games when it has outshot opponents, Florida is 32-21-3 (67 points).
The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Panthers finished 11-9-1 in those matchups (23 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 6-8-14 record in overtime matchups this season and a 47-27-8 overall record.
Tampa Bay has earned 21 points (8-9-5) in its 22 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Lightning registered only one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
When Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned seven points (2-10-3 record).
The Lightning have earned 96 points in their 57 games with three or more goals scored.
This season, Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 32 games has a record of 22-9-1 in those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 25-18-0 (50 points).
The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 38 games. The Lightning finished 22-8-8 in those contests (52 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

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