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The Miami Heat (36-29) are heavily favored (by 16.5 points) to build on a five-game home winning streak when they host the Washington Wizards (16-47) on Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
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Heat vs. Wizards Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final result of Heat 127, Wizards 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-1111)
- Total Pick: Under 237.5 (computer predicts 236.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-16.5)
Recent Heat vs. Wizards Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/8/2026 | Heat | -12.5 | 236 | -633 | +462 | 132-101 MIA |
| 4/13/2025 | Heat | -8.5 | 215.5 | -356 | +281 | 119-118 WAS |
| 3/31/2025 | Heat | -9 | 215.5 | -405 | +317 | 120-94 MIA |
| 3/3/2025 | Heat | -8 | 218 | -344 | +273 | 106-90 MIA |
| 11/2/2024 | Heat | -9.5 | 224.5 | -457 | +350 | 118-98 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami's ATS record is 39-25-1 this season.
- Miami has gone over in 33 of its 63 games with a set total (52.4%).
- This season, the Heat have won 20 out of the 32 games, or 62.5%, in which they've been favored.
- Miami has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -1111.
Wizards 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Washington's ATS record is 26-37-0 this season.
- The Wizards are 2-4 against the spread when an underdog by 16.5 points or more this year.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 34 of Washington's 63 games with a set total.
- The Wizards have been the underdog on the moneyline 58 total times this season. They've gone 14-44 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +701 or longer, Washington has gone 1-8 (11.1%).
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Heat vs. Wizards Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Nikola Jovic: Out (Back),
Kel'el Ware: Questionable (Shoulder),
Andrew Wiggins: Out (Toe),
Simone Fontecchio: Probable (Groin),
Norman Powell: Out (Groin)
Wizards
Wizards:
Anthony Davis: Out (Finger),
Cam Whitmore: Out For Season (Shoulder),
Kyshawn George: Out (Elbow),
Jamir Watkins: Out (Foot),
D'Angelo Russell: Out (Not Injury Related)
Heat vs. Wizards Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and MNMT
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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