Hornets vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 6

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Two streaking teams hit the court when the Charlotte Hornets (32-31) host the Miami Heat (34-29) on Friday, March 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Heat are 8-point underdogs and will try to keep their six-game win streak intact against the Hornets, winners of six straight.

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Hornets vs. Heat Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final tally of Hornets 118, Heat 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Hornets (-327)
  • Total Pick: Over 229.5 (computer predicts 232.5 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+8)

Recent Hornets vs. Heat Matchups

Hornets vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/7/2025 Heat -7.5 235.5 -260 +212 126-108 MIA
10/28/2025 Heat -5.5 241 -193 +161 144-117 MIA
3/23/2025 Heat -7.5 214.5 -292 +236 122-105 MIA
3/10/2025 Heat -9.5 217 -420 +326 105-102 CHA
11/27/2024 Heat -4 218.5 -172 +144 98-94 MIA
10/26/2024 Heat -5.5 223 -246 +199 114-106 MIA

Hornets 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Charlotte is 40-22-1 against the spread this season.
  • The Hornets have a 4-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 8 points or more.
  • Charlotte's games have hit the over in 24 out of 63 opportunities (38.1%).
  • The Hornets have been favorites in 19 games this season and won 16 (84.2%) of those contests.
  • Charlotte has been at least a -327 moneyline favorite four times this season and won all of those games.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Miami has put together a 37-25-1 record against the spread.
  • In games they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 3-1 against the spread.
  • Miami has gone over in 32 of its 63 games with a set total (50.8%).
  • The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 31 total times this season. They've gone 14-17 in those games.
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +261 or longer, Miami has gone 1-3 (25%).

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Hornets vs. Heat Injury Report

Hornets

Hornets:

Grant Williams: Day-To-Day (Knee),

Tidjane Salaun: Out (Knee)

Heat

Heat:

Norman Powell: Out (Groin),

Nikola Jovic: Day-To-Day (Back),

Simone Fontecchio: Day-To-Day (Groin)

Hornets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Arena: Spectrum Center

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