Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (29-27) hit the road in Southeast Division action against the Atlanta Hawks (27-30) on Friday, February 20, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Heat are 3.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season.
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Heat vs. Hawks Predictions for Friday
Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final score of Hawks 119, Heat 118.
- Moneyline Pick: Hawks (+139)
- Total Pick: Under 244.5 (computer predicts 236.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Hawks (+3.5)
Recent Heat vs. Hawks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/3/2026 | Heat | -1.5 | 236.5 | -116 | -103 | 127-115 ATL |
| 12/26/2025 | Hawks | -3.5 | 250.5 | -157 | +133 | 126-111 MIA |
| 4/18/2025 | Heat | -1.5 | 220.5 | -122 | +102 | 123-114 MIA |
| 3/27/2025 | Heat | -1.5 | 225.5 | -126 | +106 | 122-112 MIA |
| 2/26/2025 | Heat | -3 | 230 | -156 | +131 | 131-109 MIA |
| 2/24/2025 | Hawks | -1.5 | 231.5 | -121 | +101 | 98-86 ATL |
| 12/28/2024 | Hawks | -1.5 | 227 | -106 | -113 | 120-110 ATL |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 32-23-1 against the spread this season.
- The Heat have an 11-12 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
- Miami has gone over in 28 of its 57 games with a set total (49.1%).
- The Heat have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 16 (59.3%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 13-9, a 59.1% win rate, when it's favored by -165 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Hawks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Atlanta has gone 27-30-0 ATS this year.
- In games they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season, the Hawks are 14-8 against the spread.
- Atlanta's games have hit the over 29 out of 57 times (50.9%).
- The Hawks have won 15 of the 32 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (46.9%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +139 or longer, Atlanta has a record of 9-10 (47.4%).
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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Keshad Johnson: Questionable (Calf),
Tyler Herro: Probable (Ribs),
Norman Powell: Questionable (Back)
Hawks
Hawks:
Jonathan Kuminga: Out (Knee)
Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, February 20, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Arena: State Farm Arena
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