The Golden State Warriors (24-19) host the Miami Heat (22-20) after winning three home games in a row. The Warriors are favored by 5 points in the matchup, which starts at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 19, 2026.
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Warriors vs. Heat Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Warriors 119, Heat 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-205)
- Total Pick: Under 239.5 (computer predicts 233.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+5)
Recent Warriors vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/19/2025 | Heat | -10.5 | 233.5 | -420 | +325 | 110-96 MIA |
| 3/25/2025 | Warriors | -4.5 | 208.5 | -189 | +157 | 112-86 MIA |
| 1/7/2025 | Warriors | -9.5 | 215.5 | -439 | +337 | 114-98 MIA |
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Golden State is 21-22-0 ATS this season.
- The Warriors have a 13-7 record against the spread this season when favored by 5 points or more.
- Golden State has gone over in 24 of its 42 games with a set total (57.1%).
- This season, the Warriors have been favored 32 times and won 20, or 62.5%, of those games.
- Golden State has a record of 17-4, a 81% win rate, when it's favored by -205 or more by bookmakers this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Miami has compiled a 24-17-1 record against the spread.
- The Heat are 7-4-1 against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this season.
- Miami has hit the over in 20 of its 42 games with a set total (47.6%).
- The Heat have an 11-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.8% of those games).
- Miami has gone 3-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer (27.3%).
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Warriors vs. Heat Injury Report
Warriors
Warriors:
Seth Curry: Out (Back),
Gui Santos: Out (Ankle),
De'Anthony Melton: Out (Knee),
Draymond Green: Out (Ankle)
Heat
Heat:
Tyler Herro: Out (Toe)
Warriors vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Game time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and NBCS-BA
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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