The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) are heavy, 10.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a five-game win streak when they visit the Miami Heat (21-20) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG.
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Thunder vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final score of Thunder 120, Heat 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-455)
- Total Pick: Under 235.5 (computer predicts 233.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+10.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11/2026 | Thunder | -14.5 | 235.5 | -794 | +548 | 124-112 OKC |
| 2/12/2025 | Thunder | -14 | 223 | -855 | +579 | 115-101 OKC |
| 12/20/2024 | Thunder | -1 | 217 | -113 | -106 | 104-97 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 21-21-0 against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 15-11 against the spread.
- Oklahoma City's games have hit the over in 21 out of 41 opportunities (51.2%).
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 42 times and won 35, or 83.3%, of those games.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 24 of its 26 games, or 92.3%, when favored by at least -455 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has gone 23-17-1 ATS this year.
- The Heat are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season.
- Miami's games have hit the over 19 out of 41 times (46.3%).
- The Heat have been the underdog on the moneyline 23 total times this season. They've gone 10-13 in those games.
- Miami has played as a moneyline underdog of +349 or longer in only one game this season, which it lost.
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Thunder vs. Heat Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Day-To-Day (Calf)
Heat
Heat:
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Knee),
Tyler Herro: Questionable (Toe),
Davion Mitchell: Out (Shoulder),
Nikola Jovic: Questionable (Illness)
Thunder vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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