The Oklahoma City Thunder (32-7) are heavy, 14.5-point favorites against the Miami Heat (20-18) on Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and FDSOK.
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Thunder vs. Heat Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Thunder 122, Heat 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-862)
- Total Pick: Under 234.5 (computer predicts 233.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+14.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/12/2025 | Thunder | -14 | 223 | -855 | +579 | 115-101 OKC |
| 12/20/2024 | Thunder | -1 | 217 | -113 | -106 | 104-97 OKC |
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City's ATS record is 19-20-0 this season.
- The Thunder have a 9-7 record against the spread in games they were favored by 14.5 points or more this season.
- Oklahoma City's games have gone over the point total in 20 out of 38 opportunities (52.6%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 39 games this season and won 32 (82.1%) of those contests.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 15-1, a 93.8% win rate, when it's favored by -862 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami's ATS record is 21-16-1 this season.
- A total of 17 of Miami's 38 games with a set total have hit the over (44.7%).
- The Heat are 10-11 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.6% of those games).
- Miami has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +578 or longer.
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Thunder vs. Heat Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Calf)
Heat
Heat: None
Thunder vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSOK
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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