Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - Jan. 6

The Florida Panthers (22-16-3) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-15-7) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, Jan. 6 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT. The Panthers have won three straight on the road and the Maple Leafs are on a five-game home winning streak.

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Before this matchup, here is who we project to secure the win in Tuesday's hockey game.

The Maple Leafs have put up a 5-3-2 record during their last 10 games. They have scored 35 total goals (six power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 24.0%) while giving up 33 goals to their opponents.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-102)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.5 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers are 3-3-6 in overtime matchups as part of a 22-16-3 overall record.
  • In the 11 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-0-2 record (good for 20 points).
  • In the eight games this season the Panthers recorded only one goal, they went 1-6-1 (three points).
  • Florida has finished 2-5-2 in the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering six points).
  • The Panthers are 19-4-0 in the 23 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 38 points).
  • In the 17 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it registered 19 points after finishing 9-7-1.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 12-10-3 (27 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 16 games, going 10-6-0 to record 20 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 19-15-7 record this season and are 4-7-11 in contests that have gone to overtime.
  • Toronto has earned 22 points (8-3-6) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in two games and they finished 0-1-1 in those matchups.
  • Toronto has earned nine points (3-5-3 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals in 27 games, earning 35 points from those contests.
  • Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 13 games this season and has recorded 15 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 4-6-1 (nine points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 14-9-6 to record 34 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
14th 3.1 Goals Scored 3.34 4th
19th 3.15 Goals Allowed 3.34 27th
7th 29.3 Shots 27 22nd
6th 26.4 Shots Allowed 31.3 32nd
21st 18.06% Power Play % 16.67% 24th
7th 82.27% Penalty Kill % 83.65% 4th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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