Hawks vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 26

The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) will attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (15-15) at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 26, 2025 as 3.5-point favorites. The Heat have lost three games in a row.

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Hawks vs. Heat Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final score of Hawks 120, Heat 119.

  • Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-160)
  • Total Pick: Under 250.5 (computer predicts 237.6 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+3.5)

Recent Hawks vs. Heat Matchups

Hawks vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/18/2025 Heat -1.5 220.5 -122 +102 123-114 MIA
3/27/2025 Heat -1.5 225.5 -126 +106 122-112 MIA
2/26/2025 Heat -3 230 -156 +131 131-109 MIA
2/24/2025 Hawks -1.5 231.5 -121 +101 98-86 ATL
12/28/2024 Hawks -1.5 227 -106 -113 120-110 ATL

Hawks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has a 14-17-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Hawks have a 3-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.
  • In Atlanta's 30 games with a set total, 18 have hit the over (60%).
  • The Hawks have been favorites in 17 games this season and won eight (47.1%) of those contests.
  • This season, Atlanta has won six of its 10 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami is 16-13-1 against the spread this year.
  • In games they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this year, the Heat are 7-4-1 against the spread.
  • A total of 14 of Miami's 30 games with a set total have hit the over (46.7%).
  • The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 16 total times this season. They've finished 7-9 in those games.
  • Miami has a record of 4-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +134 or longer (33.3%).

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Hawks vs. Heat Injury Report

Hawks

Hawks:

Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Reconditioning),

N'Faly Dante: Out For Season (Knee),

Mouhamed Gueye: Questionable (Shoulder)

Heat

Heat:

Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Back),

Nikola Jovic: Probable (Elbow),

Keshad Johnson: Questionable (Illness),

Tyler Herro: Out (Toe),

Pelle Larsson: Probable (Ankle)

Hawks vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, December 26, 2025
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Arena: State Farm Arena
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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