Heat vs. Raptors Predictions, Odds & Stats – Dec. 23

The Toronto Raptors (17-13) are 5.5-point underdogs against the Miami Heat (15-14) at Kaseya Center on Tuesday, December 23, 2025. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, SportsNet, and WPLG.

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Heat vs. Raptors Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this game expects a final result of Heat 118, Raptors 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-211)
  • Total Pick: Over 228.5 (computer predicts 231.9 points)
  • Pick ATS: Raptors (+5.5)

Recent Heat vs. Raptors Matchups

Heat vs Raptors (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/15/2025 Heat -4.5 234.5 -195 +163 106-96 TOR
2/21/2025 Heat -3.5 218.5 -157 +133 120-111 MIA
12/12/2024 Heat -10 224.5 -485 +366 114-104 MIA
12/1/2024 Heat -4.5 221.5 -198 +164 119-116 TOR
11/29/2024 Heat -7.5 219.5 -342 +269 121-111 MIA

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami has a 16-12-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have a 5-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
  • A total of 14 of Miami's 30 games with a set total have hit the over (46.7%).
  • The Heat have won eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Miami has won six of its seven games when favored by at least -211 on the moneyline.

Raptors 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Toronto has compiled a 13-17-0 record against the spread.
  • When they have played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Raptors are 2-4 against the spread.
  • Toronto's games have hit the over 11 out of 30 times (36.7%).
  • The Raptors have put together a 5-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +174 or longer, Toronto has a record of 2-3 (40%).

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Heat vs. Raptors Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Out (Elbow),

Tyler Herro: Out (Toe),

Pelle Larsson: Out (Ankle)

Raptors

Raptors:

RJ Barrett: Out (Knee),

Jakob Poeltl: Out (Back)

Heat vs. Raptors Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN, SportsNet, and WPLG
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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