Oilers vs. Panthers Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Final Game 1

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The Edmonton Oilers take the ice in the opening game of the Stanley Cup Final against the Florida Panthers at Rogers Place on Wednesday, June 4, starting at 8 p.m. ET on TNT. The Oilers have -123 moneyline odds against the Panthers (+103).

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Here's our pick for who will capture the win in this Stanley Cup Final contest.

Oilers vs. Panthers Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Oilers 4, Panthers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-123)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Panthers (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers have a 48-29-5 record overall, with a 15-5-20 record in games that have required overtime.
  • Edmonton has 56 points (26-13-4) in the 43 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • The seven times this season the Oilers ended a game with just one goal, they went 2-5-0 (four points).
  • Edmonton has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored two goals (2-9-2 record).
  • The Oilers are 56-13-3 in the 72 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 115 points).
  • In the 37 games when Edmonton has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 23-10-4 to register 50 points.
  • In the 67 games when it outshot its opponent, Edmonton is 46-17-4 (96 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents in 25 games, going 9-15-1 to register 19 points.

Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers (47-31-4 overall) have posted a record of 11-4-15 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
  • Florida has earned 28 points (12-8-4) in its 24 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Panthers registered only one goal in 17 games and have gone 3-14-0 (six points).
  • When Florida has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 16 points (7-7-2 record).
  • The Panthers have earned 100 points in their 59 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Florida has recorded a single power-play goal in 43 games has a record of 28-11-4 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 39-23-3 (81 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 24 games, going 13-10-1 to register 27 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Panthers AVG Panthers Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3 15th
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.72 7th
1st 32 Shots 31.5 3rd
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 26.2 5th
12th 23.72% Power Play % 23.83% 11th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 80.42% 10th

Oilers vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, June 4, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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