Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

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The Florida Panthers ready for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round Sunday against the Toronto Maple Leafs, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Maple Leafs are ahead 2-1 in the series. Oddsmakers give the Panthers -188 moneyline odds in this game against the Maple Leafs (+156).

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Before watching this matchup, here is a look at which team we think will come out on top in Sunday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final result of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-188)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers are 11-4-15 in overtime matchups as part of a 47-31-4 overall record.
  • In the 24 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-8-4 record (good for 28 points).
  • In the 17 games this season the Panthers scored only one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
  • Florida has scored two goals in 15 games this season (6-7-2 record, 14 points).
  • The Panthers are 43-8-2 in the 53 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 88 points).
  • In the 40 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 25-11-4 record (54 points).
  • In the 60 games when it outshot its opponent, Florida is 35-22-3 (73 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to record 23 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) have posted a record of 13-6-19 in games that have required OT this season.
  • Toronto has earned 54 points (25-4-4) in its 33 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • Across the 12 games this season the Maple Leafs ended with only one goal, they have earned three points.
  • When Toronto has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-10-1 record).
  • The Maple Leafs have earned 112 points in their 61 games with three or more goals scored.
  • Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 35 games this season and has registered 52 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 51 times this season, and earned 75 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
15th 3 Goals Scored 3.26 7th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 2.79 8th
3rd 31.5 Shots 28 18th
5th 26.2 Shots Allowed 29.3 25th
11th 23.83% Power Play % 24.77% 9th
10th 80.42% Penalty Kill % 77.87% 17th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida

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