Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

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The Florida Panthers host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round on Friday, May 9, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on truTV. The Maple Leafs hold a 2-0 advantage in the series. The Panthers are favored, with -236 moneyline odds, in this matchup against the Maple Leafs, who have +192 moneyline odds.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which club we think will emerge with the victory in Friday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Friday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-236)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers have a 47-31-4 record overall, with a 10-4-14 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Florida has 26 points (11-8-4) in the 23 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the 17 times this season the Panthers finished a game with only one goal, they have a 3-14-0 record, good for six points.
  • Florida has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (6-7-2 record, 14 points).
  • The Panthers have scored at least three goals 52 times, and are 42-8-2 in those games (to record 86 points).
  • In the 40 games when Florida has scored a single power-play goal, it went 25-11-4 to register 54 points.
  • In the 59 games when it outshot its opponent, Florida is 34-22-3 (71 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 11-9-1 (23 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) have posted a record of 13-5-18 in contests that have required OT this season.
  • In the 32 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 53 points.
  • This season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
  • When Toronto has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-10-1 record).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 60 games, earning 111 points from those contests.
  • Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 34 games this season and has recorded 51 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 50 times this season, and earned 74 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
15th 3 Goals Scored 3.26 7th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 2.79 8th
3rd 31.5 Shots 28 18th
5th 26.2 Shots Allowed 29.3 25th
11th 23.83% Power Play % 24.77% 9th
10th 80.42% Penalty Kill % 77.87% 17th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: truTV
  • Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida

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