Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

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Game 1 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round features the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs facing off at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, May 5 on ESPN. The Panthers are the favorite, with -126 odds on the moneyline, in this matchup with the Maple Leafs, who have +106 moneyline odds.

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs Second Round matchup with a look at who we predict will win the game.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this game expects a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+106)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers are 10-4-14 in overtime contests on their way to a 47-31-4 overall record.
  • In the 21 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-6-4 record (good for 26 points).
  • The 17 times this season the Panthers ended a game with only one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
  • Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 14 points).
  • The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 50 games (42-6-2, 86 points).
  • In the 38 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 25-9-4 record (54 points).
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Florida is 34-21-3 (71 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to register 23 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) have posted a record of 13-5-18 in matchups that have needed OT this season.
  • Toronto has earned 49 points (23-4-3) in its 30 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
  • Toronto has earned seven points (3-10-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 58 games, earning 107 points from those contests.
  • Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 33 games this season and has registered 49 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 49 games. The Maple Leafs finished 35-12-2 in those contests (72 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
15th 3 Goals Scored 3.26 7th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 2.79 8th
3rd 31.5 Shots 28 18th
5th 26.2 Shots Allowed 29.3 25th
11th 23.83% Power Play % 24.77% 9th
10th 80.42% Penalty Kill % 77.87% 17th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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