The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs square off in Game 1 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, May 5, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Maple Leafs are underdogs (+105) in this matchup against the Panthers (-125).
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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs Second Round matchup with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory.
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+105)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have gone 10-4-14 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 47-31-4.
- Florida has 26 points (11-6-4) in the 21 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- The 17 times this season the Panthers ended a game with just one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
- Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 14 points).
- The Panthers have scored more than two goals in 50 games (42-6-2, 86 points).
- In the 38 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 54 points after finishing 25-9-4.
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Florida is 34-21-3 (71 points).
- The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Panthers went 11-9-1 in those matchups (23 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) have posted a record of 13-5-18 in games that have gone to OT this season.
- In the 30 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 49 points.
- This season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
- Toronto has seven points (3-10-1) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 58 times, earning 107 points from those matchups (52-3-3).
- This season, Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 24-8-1 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 18-13-2 (38 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 49 games, going 35-12-2 to register 72 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3.00 | Goals Scored | 3.26 | 7th |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.79 | 8th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28.0 | 18th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 29.3 | 25th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 24.77% | 9th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 77.87% | 17th |
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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