Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 14

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The Miami Heat (29-36) host the Boston Celtics (47-19) after losing four straight home games. The Celtics are favored by 8 points in the contest, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, March 14, 2025.

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Celtics vs. Heat Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Celtics 115, Heat 108.

  • Moneyline Pick: Celtics (-336)
  • Total Pick: Over 216 (computer predicts 222.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+8)

Recent Celtics vs. Heat Matchups

Celtics vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/10/2025 Celtics -7 214.5 -279 +226 103-85 BOS
12/2/2024 Celtics -9.5 218.5 -457 +351 108-89 BOS
5/1/2024 Celtics -14 202 -1000 +648 118-84 BOS
4/29/2024 Celtics -10.5 205 -526 +396 102-88 BOS
4/27/2024 Celtics -10.5 205.5 -483 +364 104-84 BOS
4/24/2024 Celtics -14.5 205.5 -1250 +756 111-101 MIA
4/21/2024 Celtics -14 209 -1250 +734 114-94 BOS
2/11/2024 Celtics -8 225 -311 +248 110-106 BOS
1/25/2024 Celtics -8 224.5 -332 +261 143-110 BOS
10/27/2023 Celtics -8.5 217.5 -353 +278 119-111 BOS

Celtics 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Boston has put together a 30-36-0 record against the spread.
  • In games they have played as at least 8-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 19-25 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 30 of Boston's 65 games with a set total.
  • The Celtics have won 46, or 73%, of the 63 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Boston has a record of 33-9, a 78.6% win rate, when it's favored by -336 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami has a 28-34-3 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have a 3-2-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 8 points or more.
  • Miami's games have gone over the point total 34 out of 65 times (52.3%).
  • The Heat have won eight of the 28 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (28.6%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +267 or longer, Miami has gone 2-3 (40%).

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Celtics vs. Heat Injury Report

Celtics

Celtics:

Derrick White: Questionable (Knee),

Kristaps Porzingis: Questionable (Illness),

Jayson Tatum: Questionable (Knee),

Al Horford: Probable (Toe),

Jaylen Brown: Questionable (Knee)

Heat

Heat:

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Alec Burks: Out (Back),

Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand)

Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBA TV, FDSSUN, and NBCS-BOS
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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